New research released on Friday predicts that the global prevalence of diabetes will more than double to 1.3 billion by 2050, driven by structural racism and significant inequality among nations.

The findings, based on the most comprehensive analysis of global data extending to 2050, indicate that every country worldwide will witness an increase in the number of individuals affected by this chronic disease.

Currently, it is estimated that approximately 529 million people are living with diabetes, a condition that ranks among the top 10 causes of death and disability. This number, predominantly comprising cases of type 2 diabetes, will surpass 1.3 billion within the next three decades, as revealed in a study published in the Lancet journal.

A significant correlation was observed between high body mass index (BMI), which is an indicator of potential overweight status, and over half of the cases resulting in death or disability from diabetes.

Other contributing factors include individuals' dietary habits, level of physical activity, tobacco consumption, and alcohol consumption. Liane Ong, the lead research scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) and the primary author of one of the studies, highlighted that one influential factor is the transformation in dietary patterns.

According to Liane Ong, the lead research scientist at the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), there has been a noticeable shift in dietary patterns among various countries over the past three decades. This transition has seen a move away from traditional food habits, such as increased consumption of fruits, vegetables, and healthier greens, towards a preference for highly processed foods. Ong shared this observation with AFP, highlighting the changes in eating habits as a significant contributing factor to the rising prevalence of diabetes.

Additionally, the research study projected that by the year 2045, approximately three-quarters of adults diagnosed with diabetes will reside in low- and middle-income countries. This estimation underlines the disproportionate burden of the disease on these specific regions of the world.

The Lancet, in an editorial, expressed a critical viewpoint stating that there has been a failure to comprehend the social aspects of diabetes and accurately recognize the magnitude and imminent danger posed by the disease. The editorial further emphasized that diabetes is poised to become a defining disease of the current century. This perspective highlights the urgent need for a comprehensive understanding of the multifaceted nature of diabetes and the significant challenges it presents to global health.